Status Updates From Everything Is Predictable: ...

(After brief readings of alt bayes refs) is this just the bayesian way?? This overconfidence that Bayes is best.. shoot. What have I gotten into...

Not that the Bayesian logic is inaccurate (I am a baby in this Baysian world, neigh an embryo) but it’s that his claims are so very shiny with a spin to it that’s on the side of overpromise.

“It explains why scientific results can be “statistically significant” and yet still be very wrong”. Even I know you’re purposefully saying so to overexcite (at best) or mixing statistical paradigms (at worst).

I was really excited about this book since it was the first Bayes-related book I ever bought and had hoped it would ease me into to “new” (for me) paradigm. But not even a quarter into the Intro there are some claim that give me pause.

This book would not pass peer-review which, fine, that’s not Chivers purpose & he is a writer not statistician. But now im going with caution.

My brain hurts