Arturo’s Reviews > Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction > Status Update
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Arturo
is 45% done
c4. superforecasters
a team of people and infraestructure that predicts great accuracy for the us government
— 5 hours, 59 min ago
a team of people and infraestructure that predicts great accuracy for the us government
Arturo
is 40% done
c4. superforecasters
iaarpa is founded for better predictions
— Sep 18, 2026 10:21AM
iaarpa is founded for better predictions
Arturo
is 35% done
c3. keeping score
expert forecast
it works as accurate as the average because some prefer not to compromise an answer
there are a lot of thoughs that male the expert to give a wrong forecast
— Sep 16, 2026 05:42AM
expert forecast
it works as accurate as the average because some prefer not to compromise an answer
there are a lot of thoughs that male the expert to give a wrong forecast
Arturo
is 30% done
c3. keeeping score
the last chapter was about statistical analysis for medicine nowadays
this chapter was about security intelligence and its accuracy
— Sep 13, 2026 08:19AM
the last chapter was about statistical analysis for medicine nowadays
this chapter was about security intelligence and its accuracy