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Roger Spitz
“Given the inverse relationship between predictability and uncertainty, the cost of maintaining business as usual rises significantly.”
Roger Spitz, Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World

Roger Spitz
“Our navigational toolbox equips us with compasses calibrated for the unpredictable.”
Roger Spitz, Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World

Roger Spitz
“What is our UN-VICE in the context of Disruption 3.0?
To sum up, UN-VICE is an updated way of capturing the state of the world. Framing the dynamics of systemic disruption as UNknown, Volatile, Intersecting, Complex, Exponential enables an empowering response. We are not helpless victims unable to make decisions. With UN-VICE, we have the power to shape our own futures.

KEY POINTS: OUR UN-VICE ACRONYM

- UNknown: Uncertainty becomes our comfort zone. Recognize you can’t know anything perfectly and many decisions are based on assumptions. Increased uncertainty lowers the value of advice and requires increased self-reliance. Learn how to respond regardless of the lack of precedents.

- Volatile: Harness change for gain. Our world, and change itself, is evolving faster than ever before. Volatility is not new; we simply can’t ignore its impact. In volatility, we see the shifting speed and texture of the changing environment.

- Intersecting: Everything connects to everything else. The broader our lens, the greater the insights gained from realizing how boundaries are disappearing.

- Complex: Notice emergent properties and adapt. In complex environments, inputs do not map clearly to outputs. Practitioners must acknowledge emergent properties and reconcile the immediate with the indefinite. Such systems require critical thinking, experimentation, and judgment. Evaluate emerging issues, build resiliency, and learn to adapt to expanding complexity.

- Exponential: Pay attention to nonlinear types of change that increase in growth rate. Notice rapid acceleration of seemingly small shifts. Monitoring early on will mean fewer surprises.”
Roger Spitz, Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World

Roger Spitz
“UN-VICE as a constant environment of the world:

The UN-VICE environment is an inherent constant. It is easier to imagine the world as predictable, but this world does not exist. Reality will continue to display UN-VICE features: UNknown, Volatile, Intersecting, Complex, Exponential.”
Roger Spitz, Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World

Roger Spitz
“At some point, we may come to experience the collapse of trends in their entirety, replaced by the constant emergence of a multitude of micro-trends. Welcome to the end of trends.”
Roger Spitz, Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World

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