Carlos

“The initial probability of there being a deity is not 50 percent, as some try to argue. This is a hidden assumption of agnosticism, which premises the thought that there is insufficient evidence to settle the matter either way. One can see this by asking what initial probability should be attached to the existence of (say) dryads or unicorns, or anything whose presence in myth, fable, legend and religion derives from what our remote ancestors handed down among their stories about the world. Whatever that probability is, if it is not 0 then it is vanishingly close to 0 – though it indeed seem odd even to say ‘the probability that unicorns exist is vanishingly small’. The mistake made by many is to think that because a particular tradition has been institutionalised in society, it increases the probability that the things it talks about actually exist.”
― Anthony Clifford Grayling