Oskar Leander

“But forecasters often resist considering these out-of-sample problems. When we expand our sample to include events further apart from us in time and space, it often means that we will encounter cases in which the relationships we are studying did not hold up as well as we are accustomed to. The model will seem to be less powerful. It will look less impressive in a PowerPoint presentation (or a journal article or a blog post). We will be forced to acknowledge that we know less about the world than we thought we did. Our personal and professional incentives almost always discourage us from doing this.”
― Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

“Zooey was in dreamy top form. The announcer had them off on the subject of housing developments, and the little Burke girl said she hated houses that all look alike-meaning a long row of identical 'development' houses. Zooey said they were 'nice.' He said it would be very nice to come home and be in the wrong house. To eat dinner with the wrong people by mistake, sleep in the wrong bed by mistake, and kiss everybody goodbye in the morning thinking they were your own family. He said he even wished everybody in the world looked exactly alike. He said you'd keep thinking everybody you met was your wife or your mother or father, and people would always be throwing their arms around each other wherever they went, and it would look 'very nice.”
― J.D. Salinger, Raise High the Roof Beam, Carpenters & Seymour: An Introduction

“I'd rather have a bottle in front of me than a frontal lobotomy.”
― Tom Waits

“It's easier to act your way into a new way of thinking, than think your way into a new way of acting.”
― Jerry Sternin, The Power of Positive Deviance: How Unlikely Innovators Solve the World's Toughest Problems