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“If you want to be a good intuitive Bayesian—if you want to naturally make good predictions, without having to think about what kind of prediction rule is appropriate—you need to protect your priors. Counterintuitively, that might mean turning off the news.”
― Algorithms to Live By: The Computer Science of Human Decisions
― Algorithms to Live By: The Computer Science of Human Decisions
“In the long run, optimism is the best prevention for regret.”
― Algorithms to Live By: The Computer Science of Human Decisions
― Algorithms to Live By: The Computer Science of Human Decisions
“Learning self-control is important, but it’s equally important to grow up in an environment where adults are consistently present and trustworthy.”
― Algorithms to Live By: The Computer Science of Human Decisions
― Algorithms to Live By: The Computer Science of Human Decisions
“Betrachtet man die Natur nun als Netz, wird offensichtlich, welchen Gefahren sie ausgesetzt ist. Alles hängt mit allem zusammen. Wenn ein Faden gezogen wird, kann sich das ganze Gewebe auflösen.”
― The Invention of Nature: Alexander von Humboldt's New World
― The Invention of Nature: Alexander von Humboldt's New World
“People often call me an optimist, because I show them the enormous progress they didn't know about. That makes me angry. I'm not an optimist. That makes me sound naive. I'm a very serious “possibilist”. That’s something I made up. It means someone who neither hopes without reason, nor fears without reason, someone who constantly resists the overdramatic worldview. As a possibilist, I see all this progress, and it fills me with conviction and hope that further progress is possible. This is not optimistic. It is having a clear and reasonable idea about how things are. It is having a worldview that is constructive and useful.”
― Factfulness: Ten Reasons We're Wrong About the World – and Why Things Are Better Than You Think
― Factfulness: Ten Reasons We're Wrong About the World – and Why Things Are Better Than You Think
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Buchclub der Akademie(n) Danach Für Empfehlungen und vielleicht sogar Lesezirkel. :)
howtodowtle’s 2025 Year in Books
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